Thanks to John Wilson for crunching the numbers. This first table represents all points collected by the top twenty in the Masters A field. To qualify for series overall standings, a rider must have competed in at least 3 races.
Name Alpenrose Hornings Rainer Astoria Barton Estacada Total
1 Hendricks 26 26 13 20 20 105 2 Cramer 14 16 26 26 82 3 McCaffery 11 7 26 16 14 8 82 4 Bannink 16 14 16 20 16 82 5 Bravard 15 14 10 16 26 81 6 Butler 10 12 17 15 15 9 78 7 Wilson M 12 13 11 14 13 14 77 8 Schindler 9 9 10 12 12 13 65 9 Bradway 8 20 5 10 14 57 10 Leitheiser 13 15 14 42 11 Baker 2 11 8 11 10 42 12 Mitchem 7 10 2 8 9 4 40 13 Benno 6 20 13 39 14 French 3 5 9 7 12 36 15 Enderle 6 4 11 21 16 Hoyer 8 5 7 20 17 Wilson J 6 4 5 15 18 Fletcher 1 4 3 7 15 19 Voldengen 5 2 6 13 20 Junger 8 3 11
Next, the drop the two worst race results and see how everyone stacks up:
Name Alpenrose Hornings Rainer Astoria Barton Estacada Total 1 Hendricks 26 26 20 20 92 2 Cramer 14 16 26 26 82 3 Bravard 15 14 16 26 71 4 Bannink 16 16 20 16 68 5 McCaffery 11 26 16 14 67 6 Butler 12 17 15 15 59 7 Wilson M 13 14 13 14 54 8 Bradway 8 20 10 14 52 9 Schindler 10 12 12 13 47 10 Leitheiser 13 15 14 42 11 Baker 11 8 11 10 40 12 Benno 6 20 13 39 13 Mitchem 7 10 8 9 34 14 French 5 9 7 12 33 15 Enderle 6 4 11 21 16 Hoyer 8 5 7 20 17 Wilson J 6 4 5 15 18 Fletcher 1 4 3 7 15 19 Voldengen 5 2 6 13 20 Junger 8 3 11
So what’s it all mean? Tre Hendricks and Rich Cramer are the most likely for the overall. If either wins, they get the series. Bravard looked really strong at Estacada but that 21 point deficit in the drop-two chart is quite a gap. That means in order to win the series, Bravard would have to win at Hillsboro and would also need Hendricks finish worse than fourth. If several of the top riders have poor outings, things could get interesting at the top. The top 9 look pretty solid. As long as they finish within a few spots of their regular results for the season they’ll hold the top ten. If Ian Leitheiser shows up and finishes, he’ll likely round out that top ten.
I’d have to end up on the podium to score a top ten — so that ain’t gonna happen. However, I’m looking pretty good for a top 15. As long as I finish ahead of Gant Enderle and keep sight of John Wilson and Shane Fletcher, I should be able to scoot into 15th. However, I won’t count out Erik V. He eats up courses like Hillsboro and could pull out a pretty good result to vault into the top 15.
This would be a very bad race to DNF or even have a flat/mechanical/sillt spill.
I edited this post to credit the correct Wilson brother. I certainly didn’t want to give that other bother the number crunching glory. Sorry John.
Entries (RSS)